Prediction markets

Every open Polymarket market as a series to backtest and run strategies on, traded on paper or from a live project's Polygon wallets, with books, trades and resolutions as streams.

Every market, as a series#

Markets → Predictions lists every open Polymarket event. Each outcome is the series poly:<token id>, its price the probability from 0 to 1, with nothing to add first. Strategies backtest and run on it like spot (5-minute bars and up).

Trading#

• On paper, like any series.
• Live, from a live project's Polygon wallets. Ready each wallet once (it needs USDC.e and a little POL on Polygon), then run a strategy with a dollar amount per buy: each buy spends that from each wallet and a sell closes the shares held.
• By hand from the market's page, including limit orders.

Books and trades#

• Each outcome's order book can be read now, followed live (at most once a second) or recorded every 15 seconds for backtests. The Polymarket book pressure starter trades it.
• Every trade as it prints is on the trades stream: price, shares, dollars, side and fee.

New and resolved markets#

The markets stream sends each new Polymarket market as it's listed (you can leave out the 5- and 15-minute ones) and each resolution with the outcome that won. A workflow can act on either, and a strategy on a market that resolves stops, saying why.